Chalfont St Peter vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
STI
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
EGH
2 - 0
CHA
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 3
TAD
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
POT
1 - 1
CHA
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
DUN
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LEW
2 - 2
MET
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MET
0 - 2
MAR
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
2 - 0
MET
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
THA
0 - 0
MET
35%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |