Chalfont St Peter vs Aylesbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 2
BED
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
DAV
0 - 1
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STI
3 - 4
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
EGH
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AYL
1 - 1
POT
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
STI
2 - 0
AYL
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AYL
3 - 1
SLO
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +4 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 1
AYL
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AYL
2 - 0
BAR
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |