Serie B Jor. 15

Chacaritas vs Vargas Torres analysis

Chacaritas Vargas Torres
60 ELO 54
1.1% Tilt -13.7%
1734º General ELO ranking 1959º
24º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Chacaritas
25.9%
Draw
20.9%
Vargas Torres

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
Chacaritas
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.9%
Win probability
Vargas Torres
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chacaritas
-9%
+8%
Vargas Torres

Points and table prediction

Chacaritas
Their league position
Vargas Torres
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
10º
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Macará
64
64
100%
Imbabura
58
58
100%
Cuniburo
55
55
100%
Manta
52
52
100%
Independiente Juniors
51
51
100%
9 de Octubre
44
44
100%
Vargas Torres
44
44
100%
Chacaritas
43
43
0%
América Quito
43
43
0%
Búhos ULVR
10º
30
30
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chacaritas
Vargas Torres
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Chacaritas
Vargas Torres
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chacaritas
Chacaritas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2023
GUA
Búhos ULVR
1 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
44%
29%
28%
60 61 1 0
08 Jun. 2023
INJ
Independiente Juniors
0 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
63%
23%
15%
59 69 10 +1
31 May. 2023
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 2
Cuniburo
CUN
60%
24%
16%
61 50 11 -2
24 May. 2023
OCT
9 de Octubre
3 - 2
Chacaritas
CHA
67%
21%
12%
61 70 9 0
17 May. 2023
CHA
Chacaritas
2 - 5
Imbabura
IMB
33%
26%
40%
62 65 3 -1

Matches

Vargas Torres
Vargas Torres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jun. 2023
CSV
Vargas Torres
0 - 0
Cuniburo
CUN
47%
27%
26%
55 51 4 0
08 Jun. 2023
IMB
Imbabura
0 - 0
Vargas Torres
CSV
59%
24%
17%
54 65 11 +1
31 May. 2023
CSV
Vargas Torres
1 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
22%
28%
51%
53 70 17 +1
26 May. 2023
MAC
Macará
1 - 0
Vargas Torres
CSV
62%
24%
14%
54 73 19 -1
17 May. 2023
CSV
Vargas Torres
3 - 0
América Quito
AME
21%
28%
51%
52 70 18 +2
X