Serie B - Ecuador Normal Season Round 9

Chacaritas vs 22 de Julio analysis

Chacaritas 22 de Julio
62 ELO 19
-0.2% Tilt -5.1%
2622º General ELO ranking 12343º
29º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Chacaritas
19.5%
Draw
12.2%
22 de Julio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
Chacaritas
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.2%
Win probability
22 de Julio
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chacaritas
-3%
+307%
22 de Julio

Points and table prediction

Chacaritas
Their league position
22 de Julio
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
12º
28
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leones
40
40
100%
Guayaquil City
37
37
100%
Gualaceo
35
35
100%
9 de Octubre
33
33
100%
Independiente Juniors
33
33
100%
San Antonio
32
32
100%
Atlético Vinotinto
31
31
100%
22 de Julio
28
28
100%
Vargas Torres
26
26
0%
Cumbayá
10º
26
26
10º
0%
Imbabura
11º
18
18
11º
100%
Chacaritas
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chacaritas
22 de Julio
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Chacaritas
22 de Julio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chacaritas
Chacaritas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2025
LFC
Leones
1 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
46%
27%
27%
63 65 2 0
01 May. 2025
CAV
Atlético Vinotinto
4 - 0
Chacaritas
CHA
23%
25%
51%
63 18 45 0
25 Apr. 2025
CHA
Chacaritas
1 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
18%
26%
55%
62 80 18 +1
15 Apr. 2025
INJ
Independiente Juniors
3 - 1
Chacaritas
CHA
71%
19%
10%
63 78 15 -1
10 Apr. 2025
CHA
Chacaritas
0 - 0
San Antonio
ESA
46%
27%
27%
62 66 4 +1

Matches

22 de Julio
22 de Julio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2025
CDC
Deportivo Coca
0 - 3
22 de Julio
JUL
74%
16%
11%
18 45 27 0
07 May. 2025
JUL
22 de Julio
0 - 0
Atlético Vinotinto
CAV
34%
22%
44%
18 20 2 0
04 May. 2025
RIV
Guayaquil City
2 - 2
22 de Julio
JUL
72%
19%
9%
17 80 63 +1
22 Apr. 2025
JUL
22 de Julio
2 - 0
Independiente Juniors
INJ
22%
27%
52%
15 78 63 +2
17 Apr. 2025
ESA
San Antonio
0 - 1
22 de Julio
JUL
65%
22%
14%
14 66 52 +1