Chabab vs Leonidas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
KON
2 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
DEZ
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
ELI
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALP
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
RKA
1 - 6
CHA
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leonidas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
PUR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
WES
1 - 3
LEO
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
NIE
55%
23%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DHC
0 - 2
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 3
LEO
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |