Liga Nacional Murcia Round 14

CFS El Progreso U19 vs ADM Lorquí U19 analysis

CFS El Progreso U19 ADM Lorquí U19
12 ELO 20
0.1% Tilt -1.4%
15154º General ELO ranking 10325º
4020º Country ELO ranking 787º
ELO win probability
17.3%
CFS El Progreso U19
18.1%
Draw
64.6%
ADM Lorquí U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
CFS El Progreso U19
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.6%
Win probability
ADM Lorquí U19
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CFS El Progreso U19
+26%
-9%
ADM Lorquí U19

Points and table prediction

CFS El Progreso U19
Their league position
ADM Lorquí U19
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
11º
10º
71
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Murcia Promises U19
75
75
0%
UCAM Murcia U19 B
75
75
0%
ADM Lorquí U19
71
71
100%
Real Murcia U19 B
69
69
100%
EF Torre Pacheco U19
66
66
100%
CD Cieza U19
58
58
100%
Lorca CFB U19
57
57
100%
Cartagena FC U19
56
56
100%
Pinatar U19
53
53
100%
CFS El Progreso U19
10º
46
46
10º
100%
Unión Archena U19
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Unión Molinense U19
12º
44
44
12º
100%
CD Mediterráneo U19
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Fútbol Base Yecla U19
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Beniaján CF U19
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Murcia Promesas U19
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Guadalupe U19
17º
12
12
17º
100%
Mar Menor CF U19
18º
1
1
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CFS El Progreso U19
ADM Lorquí U19
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CFS El Progreso U19
ADM Lorquí U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CFS El Progreso U19
CFS El Progreso U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
REA
Real Murcia U19 B
3 - 1
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
58%
20%
22%
13 16 3 0
02 Dec. 2023
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
2 - 2
Lorca CFB U19
LOR
37%
22%
41%
13 16 3 0
26 Nov. 2023
MUR
Murcia Promesas U19
1 - 1
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
20%
20%
61%
13 7 6 0
18 Nov. 2023
PRO
CFS El Progreso U19
2 - 1
CD Mediterráneo U19
CDM
59%
19%
22%
13 10 3 0
12 Nov. 2023
ARC
Unión Archena U19
2 - 2
CFS El Progreso U19
PRO
69%
17%
14%
12 17 5 +1

Matches

ADM Lorquí U19
ADM Lorquí U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
ADM
ADM Lorquí U19
2 - 0
Unión Molinense U19
EFM
80%
13%
8%
20 11 9 0
02 Dec. 2023
BEN
Beniaján CF U19
1 - 2
ADM Lorquí U19
ADM
10%
16%
75%
19 11 8 +1
26 Nov. 2023
ADM
ADM Lorquí U19
3 - 2
UCAM Murcia U19 B
UCA
38%
23%
39%
19 20 1 0
19 Nov. 2023
ACA
Murcia Promises U19
0 - 1
ADM Lorquí U19
ADM
41%
23%
36%
18 18 0 +1
12 Nov. 2023
ADM
ADM Lorquí U19
8 - 0
Mar Menor CF U19
MMC
85%
11%
4%
18 7 11 0