Rio Cup . Last 16
Global 4-1
Maricá vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GON
1 - 0
CMA
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
GON
1 - 3
CMA
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CMA
1 - 1
FRI
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CMA
2 - 2
GON
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 3
CMA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ANG
2 - 1
CAB
18%
21%
60%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 3
CMA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAB
37%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
CAB
18%
21%
60%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -2 |