Cfba Caravaca vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
1 - 0
MEL
27%
27%
46%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
CFB
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CFB
0 - 3
IMP
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ROQ
2 - 2
CFB
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
CFB
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IMP
0 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
ROQ
54%
28%
19%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
RJA
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 1
EST
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |