Segunda B round 38

Cfba Caravaca vs Lucena analysis

Cfba Caravaca Lucena
49 ELO 59
4.9% Tilt -10.8%
19496º General ELO ranking 16923º
6904º Country ELO ranking 5817º
ELO win probability
34.7%
Cfba Caravaca
27.8%
Draw
37.5%
Lucena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
Cfba Caravaca
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.5%
Win probability
Lucena
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Cfba Caravaca
Lucena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cfba Caravaca
Cfba Caravaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2012
LOR
Lorca Atlético CF
2 - 0
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
45%
25%
30%
51 48 3 0
29 Apr. 2012
CPC
CP Cacereño
3 - 1
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
51%
27%
23%
52 56 4 -1
22 Apr. 2012
CFB
Cfba Caravaca
0 - 1
CF Villanovense
VIL
48%
25%
27%
52 52 0 0
15 Apr. 2012
BAL
RB Linense
1 - 1
Cfba Caravaca
CFB
55%
25%
20%
52 57 5 0
08 Apr. 2012
CFB
Cfba Caravaca
3 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
15%
23%
62%
51 68 17 +1

Matches

Lucena
Lucena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2012
LUC
Lucena
0 - 1
CP Cacereño
CPC
53%
26%
22%
59 57 2 0
29 Apr. 2012
BAL
RB Linense
2 - 0
Lucena
LUC
40%
28%
31%
60 57 3 -1
21 Apr. 2012
LUC
Lucena
5 - 1
Betis Deportivo
BET
52%
25%
23%
59 55 4 +1
15 Apr. 2012
SPO
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
0 - 1
Lucena
LUC
15%
27%
58%
59 35 24 0
07 Apr. 2012
LUC
Lucena
2 - 1
AgD Ceuta
AGD
55%
24%
20%
59 52 7 0