Tous vs Idella A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LOL
0 - 2
TOU
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TOU
3 - 0
POB
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
TOU
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOU
4 - 0
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
TOU
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Idella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
IDE
44%
23%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 2
CHE
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
IDE
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 1
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |