Rafal vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PRV
1 - 2
RAF
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 0
UDL
66%
18%
17%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SPD
2 - 2
RAF
21%
22%
57%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
ELD
18%
18%
64%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 2
MON
19%
19%
63%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
MON
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
UDF
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
5 - 1
ALG
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASP
6 - 0
UDF
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAC
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |