Rafal vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+91%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAF
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CFP
1 - 2
RAF
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
RAF
0 - 0
RAV
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 2
RAF
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 0
HON
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 2
CFP
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
UDF
4 - 1
HON
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RAV
2 - 3
UDF
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
3 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
41%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 2
UDF
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |