Rafal vs Almoradí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
PET
1 - 2
RAF
46%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAF
4 - 1
HON
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
UNI
24%
22%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
RAF
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
ALB
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
UNI
57%
20%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 2
ALM
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALM
5 - 1
ALB
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIJ
1 - 2
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 2
NUC
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |