Unión Molinense vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MSM
1 - 0
PUL
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 0
MSM
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MSM
0 - 2
LHO
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
MSM
30%
25%
44%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 4
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 1
PLU
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
PLU
1 - 1
SAN
60%
22%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ABA
0 - 0
PLU
18%
22%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 2
PUL
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |