Lorca Deportiva vs CAP Ciudad de Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 0
IMP
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -3 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CDA
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
YEC
0 - 4
LOR
23%
24%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
CIE
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UCA
1 - 0
CAP
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
6 - 0
OLI
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MUL
2 - 1
CAP
40%
25%
34%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 1
LAU
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |