Pref. Murcia Normal Season Round 27

Lorca Deportiva B vs Abarán CF analysis

Lorca Deportiva B Abarán CF
21 ELO 24
-16.2% Tilt -9%
11898º General ELO ranking 11613º
1321º Country ELO ranking 1165º
ELO win probability
28.1%
Lorca Deportiva B
21.5%
Draw
50.4%
Abarán CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
Lorca Deportiva B
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
50.4%
Win probability
Abarán CF
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lorca Deportiva B
-40%
-6%
Abarán CF

ELO progression

Lorca Deportiva B
Abarán CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorca Deportiva B
Lorca Deportiva B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2025
CCS
Ciudad de Calasparra
4 - 0
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
49%
21%
30%
21 20 1 0
15 Mar. 2025
ASC
Atl. Santa Cruz
2 - 0
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
62%
19%
19%
22 27 5 -1
08 Mar. 2025
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
1 - 0
Atletico Pinatarense
ATL
71%
18%
12%
21 15 6 +1
22 Feb. 2025
UMO
Unión Molinense B
2 - 0
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
23%
21%
56%
23 15 8 -2
16 Feb. 2025
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
0 - 0
UD Los Garres
UDL
42%
24%
34%
22 24 2 +1

Matches

Abarán CF
Abarán CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
ABA
Abarán CF
3 - 0
UD Los Garres
UDL
41%
25%
34%
22 25 3 0
09 Mar. 2025
CAP
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
1 - 1
Abarán CF
ABA
41%
24%
35%
22 24 2 0
02 Mar. 2025
ABA
Abarán CF
1 - 0
AD Lorqui
LOR
41%
23%
35%
21 22 1 +1
22 Feb. 2025
CDL
CD Lumbreras
1 - 2
Abarán CF
ABA
31%
23%
47%
21 18 3 0
16 Feb. 2025
ABA
Abarán CF
2 - 1
El Raal
RAA
46%
24%
30%
20 21 1 +1