Coca de Aspe vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coca de Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
COC
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
COC
1 - 4
ALG
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 0
COC
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
COC
0 - 1
TOR
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BIG
2 - 1
COC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ASP
0 - 2
RED
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RED
4 - 1
SPO
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RED
5 - 0
ALG
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 3
RED
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RED
0 - 0
ALB
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |