Faura vs Moncofa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BET
4 - 1
FAU
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 0
FAU
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAU
3 - 4
CAS
13%
19%
68%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FAU
0 - 2
CLU
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
XIL
4 - 0
FAU
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Moncofa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
2 - 1
MON
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
XIL
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
0 - 3
SEG
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BUR
3 - 1
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |