CF Extremadura vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ANT
0 - 2
EXT
44%
28%
28%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
EXT
3 - 0
JER
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
EXT
51%
27%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
EXT
3 - 3
MOT
70%
20%
10%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
MEL
2 - 0
EXT
61%
24%
15%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
RMC
2 - 0
SAB
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
GDE
2 - 1
RMC
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
CAS
4 - 1
RMC
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
RMC
7 - 0
RCF
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
BET
5 - 0
RMC
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |