E. Castellon A vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
E. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
POB
0 - 1
EST
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
TRA
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BNC
3 - 1
EST
13%
17%
71%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
RAF
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VIN
1 - 4
EST
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OND
1 - 2
MOR
44%
23%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ORP
1 - 0
MOR
54%
22%
23%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 1
MOR
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |