Castalla vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
RAF
4 - 0
CAS
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 1
ALT
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
CAS
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
7 - 2
CFP
54%
20%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAF
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
HON
1 - 3
UDF
55%
20%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CFP
2 - 0
UDF
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 2
RAV
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
3 - 3
CDC
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |