Castalla vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RAY
4 - 2
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 1
COC
67%
16%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 2
CAS
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 1
BEN
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
AGU
16%
17%
66%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 0
AYE
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
0 - 1
UDF
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDF
4 - 0
COC
87%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |