Castalla vs Barrio Obrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
39.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BIA
0 - 5
CAS
34%
21%
46%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MED
4 - 2
CAS
63%
18%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCA
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
BFL
15%
17%
68%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barrio Obrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
MED
39%
22%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 3
BAR
32%
20%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
5 - 4
PEN
15%
19%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BFL
4 - 0
BAR
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
ONI
42%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |