Begues vs Carme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+276%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Begues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ODE
3 - 0
CFB
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CFB
1 - 1
PIE
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SCS
2 - 4
CFB
35%
23%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
CFB
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CFB
2 - 2
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
HOR
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAR
53%
20%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 4
MUN
28%
20%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAR
8 - 3
CAS
56%
19%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PIE
5 - 3
CAR
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |