CF Base Abarán vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
72.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
PUL
1 - 1
ABA
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ABA
1 - 2
UCA
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
IMP
2 - 0
ABA
78%
16%
6%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 2
BAL
24%
25%
51%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
PUL
79%
14%
8%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAR
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
IMP
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
MAR
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |