CF Base Abarán vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CCS
7 - 0
ABA
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ABA
2 - 1
CPE
25%
25%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
ABA
61%
21%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PIN
6 - 0
ABA
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ABA
3 - 4
YEC
13%
19%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 4
YEC
76%
15%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
LUM
0 - 3
LOR
10%
20%
70%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 0
MAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 0
LOR
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
2 - 0
LOR
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |