Ayelo vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
50.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
AYE
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AYE
0 - 2
VIL
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
5 - 3
AYE
50%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AYE
0 - 1
BOC
31%
23%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ONI
3 - 1
AYE
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 8
PEN
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
COC
2 - 3
UDF
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
6 - 3
UDF
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
3 - 1
MON
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
5 - 4
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |