AG Estudiantil vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Estudiantil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
EST
3 - 0
UPH
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SOM
5 - 1
EST
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
VIV
8%
14%
79%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
6 - 1
EST
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
FIS
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASP
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RCV
2 - 0
ARZ
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
6 - 1
EST
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
1 - 2
POL
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SIL
2 - 1
ARZ
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |