OC Cesson vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
14º
7º
21
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
CES
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 1
CES
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CES
0 - 2
LOR
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
CES
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 4
AFV
16%
20%
64%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
PLA
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
VAN
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USF
3 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
PLA
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |