CeBra 01 vs Red Star Merl-Belair analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
9º
8º
35
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CeBra 01
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
CBG
39%
23%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CBG
2 - 2
SYR
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 1
CBG
33%
22%
46%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
KOE
2 - 5
CBG
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CBG
2 - 2
RBE
72%
16%
13%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Merl-Belair
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RSM
1 - 2
UKT
28%
20%
53%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RES
2 - 1
RSM
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 1
BWI
40%
21%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
RSM
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UME
2 - 4
RSM
23%
20%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |