Cesena U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CES
3 - 1
SPE
23%
21%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
PIS
21%
22%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
CES
2 - 5
BOL
20%
22%
59%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
INT
5 - 0
CES
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CES
2 - 2
EMP
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 1
USA
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 2
PAR
12%
16%
72%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
CCS
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 3
PAR
10%
17%
73%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |