Cesena Sub 19 vs Parma Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+302%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CES
24%
24%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CES
5 - 2
VEN
18%
20%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CES
1 - 1
EMP
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
17%
21%
63%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Parma Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPA
23%
22%
56%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EMP
3 - 0
PAR
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 3
NOV
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 0
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 2
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |