Cesarense vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CES
5 - 2
CAM
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
GAF
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GOU
0 - 4
CES
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 0
CES
70%
18%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 0
AVE
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 3
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BMA
1 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
SPC
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |