Cesarense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
4 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
CES
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
ANA
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
CES
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CES
0 - 2
ACV
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANA
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
LUS
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
ACV
19%
25%
57%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 2
LUS
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
CIN
25%
25%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |