Cesarense vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BUS
1 - 1
CES
15%
22%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CES
2 - 3
EST
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OFR
2 - 1
CES
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
CES
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 0
BUS
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GAF
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 3
ANA
29%
26%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |