Cerveira vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CER
3 - 0
OSL
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIA
2 - 1
CER
67%
19%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
PED
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIE
1 - 2
CER
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CER
0 - 2
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FAM
4 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FAF
0 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
60%
22%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAF
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OSL
0 - 2
FAF
23%
27%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |