Cerro Largo vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
5º
4º
4
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 18 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 17 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 16 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 16 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 15 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 14 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 12 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 10 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 10 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 10 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 9 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 9 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
37.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 4 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 4 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
CSM
1 - 1
CEL
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 0
DAN
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 2
CEL
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
RDC
1 - 1
CEL
7%
19%
74%
|
82 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
CEL
48%
28%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
CAU
2 - 0
MWA
4%
10%
86%
|
81 | 12 | 69 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
MWA
0 - 1
JUV
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
LFC
2 - 1
MWA
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
MWA
0 - 0
PLA
41%
28%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 0
MWA
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |