Cerro vs Fort Pienc A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
58.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FLO
2 - 6
CCD
45%
21%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CCD
3 - 3
PER
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VCA
4 - 3
CCD
39%
23%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CCD
1 - 3
APS
37%
22%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HCS
2 - 1
CCD
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fort Pienc A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
4 - 3
FPI
53%
20%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FPI
8 - 1
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FPI
3 - 0
SPG
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PER
1 - 3
FPI
18%
18%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FPI
5 - 0
BAR
47%
21%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |