A. Cerro Águila vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UDB
3 - 2
SOL
69%
19%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 1
PPM
39%
25%
37%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MSQ
2 - 2
SOL
66%
20%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SOL
0 - 2
ADS
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
SOL
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UDB
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 1
PPM
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MSQ
1 - 0
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
ADS
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |