Céres vs Audax Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
CER
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
RBC
0 - 1
CER
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 2
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CER
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 0
SAM
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
AUD
2 - 0
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
AUD
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
AUD
1 - 1
GOY
48%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
AUD
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |