Cercle Mbéri vs FC 105 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
6º
1º
19
5º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 34 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 34 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 28 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 28 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 26 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 23 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 22 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
11º
|
62% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 16 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
66.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cercle Mbéri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OYE
2 - 1
CER
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
CER
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CER
0 - 2
CSB
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CFM
0 - 1
CER
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CER
2 - 1
STA
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC 105
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
OYE
0 - 1
105
48%
27%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
105
1 - 0
LOZ
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
105
54%
26%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
105
0 - 1
CSB
91%
7%
2%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
105
3 - 2
PEL
42%
27%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |