CCD Cerceda vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
51.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CEL
2 - 0
CER
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CER
1 - 0
ATO
46%
26%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
PON
3 - 2
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CER
1 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
OGR
0 - 0
CER
17%
24%
59%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ATO
0 - 0
DEP
22%
27%
51%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
DEP
2 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ARO
0 - 2
DEP
18%
27%
56%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
DEP
0 - 0
LEM
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VIV
1 - 1
DEP
28%
28%
43%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |