CCD Cerceda vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 1
CER
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ORD
1 - 2
CER
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
ARO
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CER
28%
24%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
BOU
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
4 - 1
ORD
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 2
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |