CCD Cerceda vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
CER
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CER
1 - 2
RIB
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
CER
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 3
CER
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NOI
0 - 3
CHO
14%
23%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 2
ALO
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 1
CHO
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
ARO
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |