Pernambucano Championship 2 . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Centro Limoeirense vs Pesqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Limoeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CAB
2 - 0
LIM
59%
23%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
VCR
0 - 0
LIM
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LIM
1 - 1
FEC
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 1
ISC
37%
23%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ISC
0 - 0
LIM
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
PES
0 - 0
SED
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
PES
31%
24%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
PES
4 - 2
SSS
50%
23%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 3
PES
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
PES
2 - 0
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |