Pernambucano 1 Round 5

Centro Limoeirense vs Náutico analysis

Centro Limoeirense Náutico
24 ELO 76
-1.8% Tilt -0.9%
12551º General ELO ranking 1386º
470º Country ELO ranking 52º
ELO win probability
8.7%
Centro Limoeirense
16.5%
Draw
74.8%
Náutico

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
Centro Limoeirense
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.8%
Win probability
Náutico
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Centro Limoeirense
+8%
+30%
Náutico

ELO progression

Centro Limoeirense
Náutico
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Centro Limoeirense
Centro Limoeirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2008
SER
Serrano PE
1 - 0
Centro Limoeirense
LIM
71%
18%
12%
23 44 21 0
20 Jan. 2008
LIM
Centro Limoeirense
1 - 1
Serrano PE
SER
23%
23%
54%
22 44 22 +1
18 Jan. 2008
NAU
Náutico
3 - 2
Centro Limoeirense
LIM
90%
8%
3%
22 76 54 0
13 Jan. 2008
LIM
Centro Limoeirense
1 - 0
CA Porto
POR
22%
23%
55%
18 42 24 +4

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2008
NAU
Náutico
0 - 0
CA Porto
POR
89%
8%
3%
76 40 36 0
20 Jan. 2008
POR
CA Porto
1 - 2
Náutico
NAU
12%
18%
70%
76 40 36 0
18 Jan. 2008
NAU
Náutico
3 - 2
Centro Limoeirense
LIM
90%
8%
3%
76 22 54 0
13 Jan. 2008
SER
Serrano PE
1 - 0
Náutico
NAU
10%
17%
73%
77 43 34 -1
02 Dec. 2007
NAU
Náutico
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
44%
25%
32%
76 83 7 +1