Centro Español vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
ITU
2 - 0
CES
78%
16%
6%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 2
ALE
13%
25%
62%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
CES
0 - 3
ARR
12%
22%
67%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
CBA
1 - 1
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 2
MUÑ
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
VIC
57%
25%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
VIC
3 - 2
CAA
36%
26%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
ALE
1 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
VIC
1 - 1
JUU
54%
25%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |