Central SC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 1
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
CEN
0 - 0
CAM
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CEN
0 - 0
POT
60%
22%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
YPI
2 - 4
CEN
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
POT
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
POT
3 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
LIM
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |