Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
82.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MAG
1 - 0
CEN
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
0 - 0
ADJ
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEN
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 1
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
3 - 2
ADJ
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
1 - 1
PET
85%
12%
4%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 0
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
ADJ
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |