Pernambucano 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 1-2
Central SC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
SPO
7%
16%
77%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
3 - 2
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 1
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PES
1 - 2
CEN
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 0
CEN
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
NAU
11%
16%
73%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
3 - 2
SAL
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
AFO
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
0 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |